Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 260-319 X posts by Elon Musk during March 31-April 7, mirroring his recent surge to 76 posts from March 26-28 (averaging 38 daily over two days) amid viral Grok AI showcases and cultural hot takes on injustice and tech innovation. This edges out prior weeks' 25-34 daily rhythm seen in resolved markets like March 24-31's early pace of 138, fueling a fragmented field where daily variability—spurred by Tesla updates, SpaceX buzz, or political firestorms—creates razor-thin edges between bins. With the week imminent and no fixed catalysts announced, swing factors like breaking announcements could propel higher tallies or lulls during executive focus, underscoring the crowd wisdom in Elon's unpredictable social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$1,778,403 Vol.
$1,778,403 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$1,778,403 Vol.
$1,778,403 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 260-319 X posts by Elon Musk during March 31-April 7, mirroring his recent surge to 76 posts from March 26-28 (averaging 38 daily over two days) amid viral Grok AI showcases and cultural hot takes on injustice and tech innovation. This edges out prior weeks' 25-34 daily rhythm seen in resolved markets like March 24-31's early pace of 138, fueling a fragmented field where daily variability—spurred by Tesla updates, SpaceX buzz, or political firestorms—creates razor-thin edges between bins. With the week imminent and no fixed catalysts announced, swing factors like breaking announcements could propel higher tallies or lulls during executive focus, underscoring the crowd wisdom in Elon's unpredictable social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions