Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 2-4, 2026, at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 28.5%, reflecting his recent pace of roughly 23-35 posts per day during the March 30-April 1 stretch that tallied 69 total. This positioning stems from sustained high engagement on viral topics like Tesla's FSD 14.3 beta rollout, Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, and pointed political commentary, without explosive spikes from launches or controversies. The mid-range favoritism accounts for historical weekend lulls in his posting rhythm, amid no confirmed catalysts like SpaceX events or Tesla Q1 earnings to push toward 90-114 (22.5%). Markets highlight the crowd wisdom in tracking Musk's unpredictable social media bursts, with rapid shifts possible from breaking news.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
65-89 40%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
NEW
$116,463 Vol.
NEW
$116,463 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
<40
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
40%
90-114
23%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
NEW
$116,463 Vol.
NEW
$116,463 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
<40
$12,720 Vol.
3%
40-64
$5,994 Vol.
29%
65-89
$6,925 Vol.
40%
90-114
$5,490 Vol.
23%
115-139
$9,190 Vol.
7%
140-164
$14,513 Vol.
1%
165-189
$12,473 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,047 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$18,532 Vol.
<1%
240+
$20,588 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 2-4, 2026, at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 28.5%, reflecting his recent pace of roughly 23-35 posts per day during the March 30-April 1 stretch that tallied 69 total. This positioning stems from sustained high engagement on viral topics like Tesla's FSD 14.3 beta rollout, Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, and pointed political commentary, without explosive spikes from launches or controversies. The mid-range favoritism accounts for historical weekend lulls in his posting rhythm, amid no confirmed catalysts like SpaceX events or Tesla Q1 earnings to push toward 90-114 (22.5%). Markets highlight the crowd wisdom in tracking Musk's unpredictable social media bursts, with rapid shifts possible from breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$116,463End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 2-4, 2026, at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 28.5%, reflecting his recent pace of roughly 23-35 posts per day during the March 30-April 1 stretch that tallied 69 total. This positioning stems from sustained high engagement on viral topics like Tesla's FSD 14.3 beta rollout, Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, and pointed political commentary, without explosive spikes from launches or controversies. The mid-range favoritism accounts for historical weekend lulls in his posting rhythm, amid no confirmed catalysts like SpaceX events or Tesla Q1 earnings to push toward 90-114 (22.5%). Markets highlight the crowd wisdom in tracking Musk's unpredictable social media bursts, with rapid shifts possible from breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$116,463End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 2-4, 2026, at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 28.5%, reflecting his recent pace of roughly 23-35 posts per day during the March 30-April 1 stretch that tallied 69 total. This positioning stems from sustained high engagement on viral topics like Tesla's FSD 14.3 beta rollout, Grok's multilingual translation breakthroughs, and pointed political commentary, without explosive spikes from launches or controversies. The mid-range favoritism accounts for historical weekend lulls in his posting rhythm, amid no confirmed catalysts like SpaceX events or Tesla Q1 earnings to push toward 90-114 (22.5%). Markets highlight the crowd wisdom in tracking Musk's unpredictable social media bursts, with rapid shifts possible from breaking news.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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