Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ted Cruz posting 80-119 times on X during March 27-April 3, 2026, at over 65% combined implied probability across those ranges, driven by his consistent historical output of 10-15 posts per day amid policy debates, cultural commentary, and constituent engagement. Recent analyses of his activity post-2024 Texas Senate re-election show sustained high volume, with weekly totals often clustering in the 80-120 range during non-campaign periods, keeping odds tight among mid-high buckets. Low probabilities for extremes reflect base rates avoiding outlier weeks. Potential separation could arise from scheduled events like congressional recesses, viral news cycles, or primary season catalysts boosting or suppressing activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTed Cruz # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
80-99 36%
100-119 34%
60-79 29%
40-59 25.5%
<20
2%
20-39
2%
40-59
26%
60-79
29%
80-99
36%
100-119
34%
120-139
25%
140-159
25%
160-179
24%
180-199
25%
200+
21%
80-99 36%
100-119 34%
60-79 29%
40-59 25.5%
<20
2%
20-39
2%
40-59
26%
60-79
29%
80-99
36%
100-119
34%
120-139
25%
140-159
25%
160-179
24%
180-199
25%
200+
21%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ted Cruz posting 80-119 times on X during March 27-April 3, 2026, at over 65% combined implied probability across those ranges, driven by his consistent historical output of 10-15 posts per day amid policy debates, cultural commentary, and constituent engagement. Recent analyses of his activity post-2024 Texas Senate re-election show sustained high volume, with weekly totals often clustering in the 80-120 range during non-campaign periods, keeping odds tight among mid-high buckets. Low probabilities for extremes reflect base rates avoiding outlier weeks. Potential separation could arise from scheduled events like congressional recesses, viral news cycles, or primary season catalysts boosting or suppressing activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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