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Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Name: Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
Start: 2026-03-16T21:17:48.045Z
End: 2026-03-21T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Iran

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

NEW

$25,388 Vol.

Mar 21, 2026

March 17, 2026

$10,861 Vol.

March 18, 2026

$4,720 Vol.

54%

March 19, 2026

$1,945 Vol.

49%

March 20, 2026

$7,861 Vol.

65%

$25,388 Vol.

March 17, 2026

$10,861 Vol.

March 18, 2026

$4,720 Vol.

54%

March 19, 2026

$1,945 Vol.

49%

March 20, 2026

$7,861 Vol.

65%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.

Mojtaba Khamenei, the reclusive son of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and a rumored potential successor, has no verified X (formerly Twitter) account or history of public social media activity, anchoring trader consensus at low implied probabilities for him tweeting on the specified topic or timeframe. Recent Iranian developments, including escalated regional tensions from Israeli strikes and official statements from Ayatollah Khamenei himself via state media, have not prompted any confirmed digital outreach from Mojtaba, reinforcing skepticism among bettors. Traders weigh his longstanding opacity against occasional unverified account rumors, with no scheduled events like speeches or endorsements altering the outlook; sudden policy announcements from Tehran could shift sentiment rapidly.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 18, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?

88%

Iran leadership change by December 31?

62%

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

31%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 20, 2026" at 65%, followed by "March 18, 2026" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" has generated $25.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is "March 20, 2026" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 18, 2026" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $25.4K traded on “Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 65¢ for "March 20, 2026" in the "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 65% chance that "March 20, 2026" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 65¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 35¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 21, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Note on Middle East Markets

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

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