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Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

<5 36%

5-9 36%

10-14 32%

20-24 31%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 36%

5-9 36%

10-14 32%

20-24 31%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$20 Vol.

36%

5-9

$0 Vol.

36%

10-14

$0 Vol.

32%

15-19

$0 Vol.

31%

20-24

$0 Vol.

31%

25-29

$0 Vol.

24%

30-34

$0 Vol.

30%

35-39

$20 Vol.

21%

40-44

$20 Vol.

24%

45-49

$20 Vol.

21%

50-54

$20 Vol.

22%

55-59

$20 Vol.

21%

60+

$21 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting 5-9 times during March 31-April 7 reflects the steady rhythm of 2-4 archival statements per week since his martyrdom in late February 2026 amid U.S. strikes on Iran. Recent activity—four posts March 22-28 (critiquing U.S. decline and Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq), three the prior week—anchors low expectations, but variability fuels the tight race with <5 at 36%. Ongoing leadership transition uncertainty, including potential interim Supreme Leader signals or mourning protocols, keeps higher bins viable; escalatory diplomacy or regional proxy developments could spike volume and widen gaps.

Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting 5-9 times during March 31-April 7 reflects the steady rhythm of 2-4 archival statements per week since his martyrdom in late February 2026 amid U.S. strikes on Iran. Recent activity—four posts March 22-28 (critiquing U.S. decline and Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq), three the prior week—anchors low expectations, but variability fuels the tight race with <5 at 36%. Ongoing leadership transition uncertainty, including potential interim Supreme Leader signals or mourning protocols, keeps higher bins viable; escalatory diplomacy or regional proxy developments could spike volume and widen gaps.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting 5-9 times during March 31-April 7 reflects the steady rhythm of 2-4 archival statements per week since his martyrdom in late February 2026 amid U.S. strikes on Iran. Recent activity—four posts March 22-28 (critiquing U.S. decline and Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq), three the prior week—anchors low expectations, but variability fuels the tight race with <5 at 36%. Ongoing leadership transition uncertainty, including potential interim Supreme Leader signals or mourning protocols, keeps higher bins viable; escalatory diplomacy or regional proxy developments could spike volume and widen gaps.

Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting 5-9 times during March 31-April 7 reflects the steady rhythm of 2-4 archival statements per week since his martyrdom in late February 2026 amid U.S. strikes on Iran. Recent activity—four posts March 22-28 (critiquing U.S. decline and Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq), three the prior week—anchors low expectations, but variability fuels the tight race with <5 at 36%. Ongoing leadership transition uncertainty, including potential interim Supreme Leader signals or mourning protocols, keeps higher bins viable; escalatory diplomacy or regional proxy developments could spike volume and widen gaps.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 36%, followed by "5-9" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is "<5" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.