Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Name: Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?
Start: 2026-03-27T22:29:29.301Z
End: 2026-03-28T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Airport

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

50% chance

$38 Vol.

Mar 28, 2026

50% chance

$38 Vol.

Mar 28, 2026

FlightAware data shows just 227 cancellations within, into, or out of the United States as of March 28, 2026, far below the 500 threshold, anchoring trader consensus at 74% for "No." Localized high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), per the FAA's March 27 air traffic report, have caused minor disruptions like 48 cancellations at LaGuardia, but no nationwide weather events, strikes, or FAA ground stops mirror mid-March storms that spiked thousands of flights. With the day ongoing and no new catalysts emerging, the wisdom of crowds reflects low risk of a late surge exceeding 500 by midnight.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 28, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

29%

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?

64%

Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)

47%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 26% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 26¢, the market collectively assigns a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" is 26% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of "Yes" or "No" represents the market's implied probability. A "Yes" price of 26¢ for "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" means traders collectively believe there is a 26% chance this event will happen. If you buy "Yes" at 26¢ and the event does happen, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 74¢ per share. If the event doesn't happen, those shares are worth $0.

The "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" market has an active community of 11 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Order Book

Order Book

Related

Frequently Asked Questions

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Order Book

Order Book

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (11)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"?

What are the current odds for "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"?

How will "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"?

What does a price of 26¢ for "Yes" mean?

When does the "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"?

What is Polymarket?