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Politics·Gov Shutdown

Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?

Market icon
Politics·Gov Shutdown

Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<6,000 55%

6,000-6,500 32%

6,500-7,000 32%

>9,000 32%

Polymarket

$2 Vol.

<6,000 55%

6,000-6,500 32%

6,500-7,000 32%

>9,000 32%

Polymarket

$2 Vol.

<6,000

$0 Vol.

55%

6,000-6,500

$0 Vol.

32%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

32%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

31%

7,500-8,000

$0 Vol.

31%

8,000-8,500

$0 Vol.

31%

8,500-9,000

$2 Vol.

31%

>9,000

$0 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 28 at 54.5%, reflecting FlightAware data showing approximately 5,000 delays within, into, or out of the United States so far, with 227 cancellations amid localized disruptions rather than nationwide chaos. Ongoing partial government shutdown has strained TSA staffing, leading to extended security screening lines and contributing to departure delays at hubs like LaGuardia (up to 1 hour 48 minutes arrivals), Reagan National, and Dulles, while FAA notes lingering winds in New York and Philadelphia from March 26-27 reports. Absent mid-March storm surges that exceeded 8,000 delays, and aligning with recent averages around 5,600 daily, higher ranges trade at 30-31.5% as traders anticipate no escalation before market resolution based on official FAA statistics.

Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 28 at 54.5%, reflecting FlightAware data showing approximately 5,000 delays within, into, or out of the United States so far, with 227 cancellations amid localized disruptions rather than nationwide chaos. Ongoing partial government shutdown has strained TSA staffing, leading to extended security screening lines and contributing to departure delays at hubs like LaGuardia (up to 1 hour 48 minutes arrivals), Reagan National, and Dulles, while FAA notes lingering winds in New York and Philadelphia from March 26-27 reports. Absent mid-March storm surges that exceeded 8,000 delays, and aligning with recent averages around 5,600 daily, higher ranges trade at 30-31.5% as traders anticipate no escalation before market resolution based on official FAA statistics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 28 at 54.5%, reflecting FlightAware data showing approximately 5,000 delays within, into, or out of the United States so far, with 227 cancellations amid localized disruptions rather than nationwide chaos. Ongoing partial government shutdown has strained TSA staffing, leading to extended security screening lines and contributing to departure delays at hubs like LaGuardia (up to 1 hour 48 minutes arrivals), Reagan National, and Dulles, while FAA notes lingering winds in New York and Philadelphia from March 26-27 reports. Absent mid-March storm surges that exceeded 8,000 delays, and aligning with recent averages around 5,600 daily, higher ranges trade at 30-31.5% as traders anticipate no escalation before market resolution based on official FAA statistics.

Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 28 at 54.5%, reflecting FlightAware data showing approximately 5,000 delays within, into, or out of the United States so far, with 227 cancellations amid localized disruptions rather than nationwide chaos. Ongoing partial government shutdown has strained TSA staffing, leading to extended security screening lines and contributing to departure delays at hubs like LaGuardia (up to 1 hour 48 minutes arrivals), Reagan National, and Dulles, while FAA notes lingering winds in New York and Philadelphia from March 26-27 reports. Absent mid-March storm surges that exceeded 8,000 delays, and aligning with recent averages around 5,600 daily, higher ranges trade at 30-31.5% as traders anticipate no escalation before market resolution based on official FAA statistics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<6,000" at 55%, followed by "6,000-6,500" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" is "<6,000" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6,000-6,500" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.