Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account posts from March 24-31, 2026, shows a tight cluster with 20-39, 40-59, and 60-79 ranges each at 41.5%, reflecting historical variability in his posting frequency, which averages 30-60 per week based on recent patterns of statements on regional conflicts, policy announcements, and speeches. This even spread stems from the distant timeline, where unforeseen catalysts like escalations in Iran-Israel tensions, domestic political events, or the post-Nowruz holiday period could drive spikes or lulls. Separation might emerge from pre-2026 trends in his social media activity or official media output, as traders weigh the Supreme Leader's response to ongoing Middle East dynamics against quieter baseline periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKhamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
20-39 41%
60-79 41%
40-59 41%
<20 40%
<20
40%
20-39
41%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
40%
100-119
40%
120-139
40%
140-159
40%
160-179
40%
180-199
40%
200+
40%
20-39 41%
60-79 41%
40-59 41%
<20 40%
<20
40%
20-39
41%
40-59
41%
60-79
41%
80-99
40%
100-119
40%
120-139
40%
140-159
40%
160-179
40%
180-199
40%
200+
40%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account posts from March 24-31, 2026, shows a tight cluster with 20-39, 40-59, and 60-79 ranges each at 41.5%, reflecting historical variability in his posting frequency, which averages 30-60 per week based on recent patterns of statements on regional conflicts, policy announcements, and speeches. This even spread stems from the distant timeline, where unforeseen catalysts like escalations in Iran-Israel tensions, domestic political events, or the post-Nowruz holiday period could drive spikes or lulls. Separation might emerge from pre-2026 trends in his social media activity or official media output, as traders weigh the Supreme Leader's response to ongoing Middle East dynamics against quieter baseline periods.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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