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GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Andrew Clyde 98.6%

Gregg Poole <1%

Sam Couvillon <1%

Polymarket

$18,437 Vol.

Andrew Clyde 98.6%

Gregg Poole <1%

Sam Couvillon <1%

Polymarket

$18,437 Vol.

Gregg Poole

$8,699 Vol.

No

Andrew Clyde

$4,493 Vol.

Yes

Sam Couvillon

$5,245 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.As the incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District, Andrew Clyde holds a commanding position in the Republican primary due to his established conservative voting record, prior reelection margins exceeding 69 percent, and a recent endorsement from President Trump. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole have raised notable funds and emphasized local issues at candidate forums, yet these efforts have not shifted voter support in this heavily Republican district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this incumbency advantage and the absence of major recent developments that could narrow the gap ahead of the May 19 primary. Late developments such as unexpected endorsements or turnout surprises remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,437
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.As the incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia’s 9th Congressional District, Andrew Clyde holds a commanding position in the Republican primary due to his established conservative voting record, prior reelection margins exceeding 69 percent, and a recent endorsement from President Trump. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole have raised notable funds and emphasized local issues at candidate forums, yet these efforts have not shifted voter support in this heavily Republican district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this incumbency advantage and the absence of major recent developments that could narrow the gap ahead of the May 19 primary. Late developments such as unexpected endorsements or turnout surprises remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,437
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andrew Clyde" at 100%, followed by "Gregg Poole" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $18.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" is "Andrew Clyde" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gregg Poole" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.