Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 31%
Orbán - Hungary PM 26%
Netanyahu - Israel PM 23.5%
Starmer - UK PM 10%
$52,416 Vol.
$52,416 Vol.
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
31%
Orbán - Hungary PM
26%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
16%
Starmer - UK PM
10%
Merz - German Chancellor
5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
Trump - USA President
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
2%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
2%
Lecornu - France PM
2%
Abbas - President of Palestine
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 31%
Orbán - Hungary PM 26%
Netanyahu - Israel PM 23.5%
Starmer - UK PM 10%
$52,416 Vol.
$52,416 Vol.
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
31%
Orbán - Hungary PM
26%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
16%
Starmer - UK PM
10%
Merz - German Chancellor
5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
Trump - USA President
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
2%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
2%
Lecornu - France PM
2%
Abbas - President of Palestine
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
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Frequently Asked Questions