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icon for GA-01 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·House Primary

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for GA-01 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·House Primary

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Kingston 93.3%

Brian Montgomery 4.0%

Patrick Farrell 2.7%

Kandiss Taylor 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,507 Vol.

James Kingston 93.3%

Brian Montgomery 4.0%

Patrick Farrell 2.7%

Kandiss Taylor 1.9%

Polymarket

$11,507 Vol.

James Kingston

$5,300 Vol.

93%

Brian Montgomery

$498 Vol.

4%

Patrick Farrell

$387 Vol.

3%

Kandiss Taylor

$4,339 Vol.

2%

Krista Penn

$505 Vol.

<1%

Eugene Yu

$478 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston commands over 90% trader consensus in the GA-01 Republican primary one week before the May 19 vote, reflecting his fundraising dominance—crossing $1 million raised swiftly—and high-profile endorsements including President Trump's recent nod, Club for Growth PAC backing, and campaign events with figures like Rep. Jim Jordan. As son of former Rep. Jack Kingston, he benefits from strong name recognition in this open-seat race vacated by Buddy Carter's Senate bid, amid a fragmented field of challengers like Brian Montgomery and Patrick Farrell. While odds imply a clear path to nomination without a runoff, late-breaking scandals, unexpected turnout in coastal counties, or undecided voter shifts could narrow the gap in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,507
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston commands over 90% trader consensus in the GA-01 Republican primary one week before the May 19 vote, reflecting his fundraising dominance—crossing $1 million raised swiftly—and high-profile endorsements including President Trump's recent nod, Club for Growth PAC backing, and campaign events with figures like Rep. Jim Jordan. As son of former Rep. Jack Kingston, he benefits from strong name recognition in this open-seat race vacated by Buddy Carter's Senate bid, amid a fragmented field of challengers like Brian Montgomery and Patrick Farrell. While odds imply a clear path to nomination without a runoff, late-breaking scandals, unexpected turnout in coastal counties, or undecided voter shifts could narrow the gap in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,507
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "James Kingston" at 93%, followed by "Brian Montgomery" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "James Kingston" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brian Montgomery" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.