Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors under 20 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during the March 20-27, 2026 week (70%), followed by 20-39 posts (20%), reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm of typically 5-15 per week amid regional tensions and Nowruz holiday observances. Recent developments, including Iran's restrained responses to Israeli strikes in October 2024 and subdued activity in early 2025, reinforce this low baseline, as the 85-year-old Supreme Leader prioritizes formal speeches over frequent social media updates. Absent major escalations or health disclosures, traders anticipate continuity in managed, infrequent output during Persian New Year traditions, with a standard holiday message unlikely to exceed modest tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKhamenei # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
<20 83%
20-39 20%
200+ 19%
80-99 18%
<20
70%
20-39
20%
40-59
14%
60-79
13%
80-99
18%
100-119
18%
120-139
18%
140-159
15%
160-179
11%
180-199
9%
200+
19%
<20 83%
20-39 20%
200+ 19%
80-99 18%
<20
70%
20-39
20%
40-59
14%
60-79
13%
80-99
18%
100-119
18%
120-139
18%
140-159
15%
160-179
11%
180-199
9%
200+
19%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors under 20 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during the March 20-27, 2026 week (70%), followed by 20-39 posts (20%), reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm of typically 5-15 per week amid regional tensions and Nowruz holiday observances. Recent developments, including Iran's restrained responses to Israeli strikes in October 2024 and subdued activity in early 2025, reinforce this low baseline, as the 85-year-old Supreme Leader prioritizes formal speeches over frequent social media updates. Absent major escalations or health disclosures, traders anticipate continuity in managed, infrequent output during Persian New Year traditions, with a standard holiday message unlikely to exceed modest tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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