Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Donald Trump posting 80-99 times (46.5%) or 100-119 times (32.0%) on Truth Social from March 13-20, 2026, reflecting his historical average of 12-15 posts per day during high-engagement periods like the 2024 campaign and early presidency transition. This 8-day window aligns with sustained output patterns, where Trump uses the platform for official statements, policy updates, and rapid response to news, as seen in recent 2025 data averaging over 100 weekly posts amid White House briefings and international summits. Lower probabilities for extremes stem from variability tied to event-driven spikes or quieter days, with no confirmed March catalysts yet shifting sentiment from this baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated80-99 47%
100-119 33%
120-139 11%
140-159 5%
$27,307 Vol.
$27,307 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
5%
80-99
47%
100-119
33%
120-139
11%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200+
1%
80-99 47%
100-119 33%
120-139 11%
140-159 5%
$27,307 Vol.
$27,307 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
5%
80-99
47%
100-119
33%
120-139
11%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Donald Trump posting 80-99 times (46.5%) or 100-119 times (32.0%) on Truth Social from March 13-20, 2026, reflecting his historical average of 12-15 posts per day during high-engagement periods like the 2024 campaign and early presidency transition. This 8-day window aligns with sustained output patterns, where Trump uses the platform for official statements, policy updates, and rapid response to news, as seen in recent 2025 data averaging over 100 weekly posts amid White House briefings and international summits. Lower probabilities for extremes stem from variability tied to event-driven spikes or quieter days, with no confirmed March catalysts yet shifting sentiment from this baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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