President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged around 18 posts daily throughout 2025, projecting roughly 126 per week, yet trader consensus prices 80-99 posts (38.5%) and 100-119 (31.5%) as top outcomes for April 10-17 amid tight competition reflecting weekly variability. A recent surge—86 posts by early April 8 in the prior April 3-10 window—stemmed from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including profane Easter threats, F-15 crew rescues from Iranian mountains, and deadlines for reopening the waterway. The race stays close due to unpredictable spikes from military developments or lulls during negotiations; further airstrikes, ceasefire announcements, or canceled Pentagon briefings could push volumes higher, while de-escalation might cap them lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated80-99 39%
100-119 32%
60-79 14%
120-139 8%
NEW
$18,979 Vol.
NEW
$18,979 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
14%
80-99
39%
100-119
32%
120-139
8%
140-159
4%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200+
1%
80-99 39%
100-119 32%
60-79 14%
120-139 8%
NEW
$18,979 Vol.
NEW
$18,979 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
<20
$10,886 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$3,302 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,083 Vol.
2%
60-79
$469 Vol.
14%
80-99
$18 Vol.
39%
100-119
$113 Vol.
32%
120-139
$714 Vol.
8%
140-159
$255 Vol.
4%
160-179
$494 Vol.
2%
180-199
$242 Vol.
2%
200+
$1,402 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged around 18 posts daily throughout 2025, projecting roughly 126 per week, yet trader consensus prices 80-99 posts (38.5%) and 100-119 (31.5%) as top outcomes for April 10-17 amid tight competition reflecting weekly variability. A recent surge—86 posts by early April 8 in the prior April 3-10 window—stemmed from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including profane Easter threats, F-15 crew rescues from Iranian mountains, and deadlines for reopening the waterway. The race stays close due to unpredictable spikes from military developments or lulls during negotiations; further airstrikes, ceasefire announcements, or canceled Pentagon briefings could push volumes higher, while de-escalation might cap them lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$18,979End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged around 18 posts daily throughout 2025, projecting roughly 126 per week, yet trader consensus prices 80-99 posts (38.5%) and 100-119 (31.5%) as top outcomes for April 10-17 amid tight competition reflecting weekly variability. A recent surge—86 posts by early April 8 in the prior April 3-10 window—stemmed from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including profane Easter threats, F-15 crew rescues from Iranian mountains, and deadlines for reopening the waterway. The race stays close due to unpredictable spikes from military developments or lulls during negotiations; further airstrikes, ceasefire announcements, or canceled Pentagon briefings could push volumes higher, while de-escalation might cap them lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,979End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged around 18 posts daily throughout 2025, projecting roughly 126 per week, yet trader consensus prices 80-99 posts (38.5%) and 100-119 (31.5%) as top outcomes for April 10-17 amid tight competition reflecting weekly variability. A recent surge—86 posts by early April 8 in the prior April 3-10 window—stemmed from escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including profane Easter threats, F-15 crew rescues from Iranian mountains, and deadlines for reopening the waterway. The race stays close due to unpredictable spikes from military developments or lulls during negotiations; further airstrikes, ceasefire announcements, or canceled Pentagon briefings could push volumes higher, while de-escalation might cap them lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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