Trader consensus prices 20-39 X posts by Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (@cz_binance) at 52.5% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting his steady baseline rhythm of 3-4 countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; replies excluded) per day, totaling 20-30 weekly as seen in prior Polymarket trackers for March 31-April 7 and April 3-10. The close <20 outcome at 42% accounts for occasional lulls, like single-post days earlier this week. Recent book launch of "Freedom of Money" drove promotional activity—including a viral push-up challenge video on April 7 and Amazon review requests on April 8—but has not spiked volume beyond norms, with no scheduled events altering the pattern ahead of the April 17 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCZ # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
CZ # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
20-39 48%
<20 44%
40-59 13.8%
60-79 11.7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
<20
44%
20-39
59%
40-59
14%
60-79
12%
80-99
9%
100-119
2%
120-139
2%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 48%
<20 44%
40-59 13.8%
60-79 11.7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
<20
$249 Vol.
44%
20-39
$149 Vol.
59%
40-59
$279 Vol.
14%
60-79
$196 Vol.
12%
80-99
$144 Vol.
9%
100-119
$191 Vol.
2%
120-139
$280 Vol.
2%
140-159
$169 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$155 Vol.
1%
180-199
$425 Vol.
<1%
200+
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices 20-39 X posts by Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (@cz_binance) at 52.5% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting his steady baseline rhythm of 3-4 countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; replies excluded) per day, totaling 20-30 weekly as seen in prior Polymarket trackers for March 31-April 7 and April 3-10. The close <20 outcome at 42% accounts for occasional lulls, like single-post days earlier this week. Recent book launch of "Freedom of Money" drove promotional activity—including a viral push-up challenge video on April 7 and Amazon review requests on April 8—but has not spiked volume beyond norms, with no scheduled events altering the pattern ahead of the April 17 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,581End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/cz_binanceResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices 20-39 X posts by Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (@cz_binance) at 52.5% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting his steady baseline rhythm of 3-4 countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; replies excluded) per day, totaling 20-30 weekly as seen in prior Polymarket trackers for March 31-April 7 and April 3-10. The close <20 outcome at 42% accounts for occasional lulls, like single-post days earlier this week. Recent book launch of "Freedom of Money" drove promotional activity—including a viral push-up challenge video on April 7 and Amazon review requests on April 8—but has not spiked volume beyond norms, with no scheduled events altering the pattern ahead of the April 17 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,581End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/cz_binanceResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 20-39 X posts by Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (@cz_binance) at 52.5% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting his steady baseline rhythm of 3-4 countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; replies excluded) per day, totaling 20-30 weekly as seen in prior Polymarket trackers for March 31-April 7 and April 3-10. The close <20 outcome at 42% accounts for occasional lulls, like single-post days earlier this week. Recent book launch of "Freedom of Money" drove promotional activity—including a viral push-up challenge video on April 7 and Amazon review requests on April 8—but has not spiked volume beyond norms, with no scheduled events altering the pattern ahead of the April 17 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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