Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 6-8, closely trailed by 40-64 (28.5%), reflecting his recent subdued posting pace of about 17 tweets per day—evident in the April 4-6 market resolving at 33 posts over two days amid lighter news cycles. This competitive dynamic stems from Elon's variable social media habits, which spike during high-stakes events like Tesla updates or political firestorms but have cooled post-March peaks averaging 40-50 daily amid routine engagements. Today's X API upgrades sparked a handful of posts, hinting at potential weekend momentum, though sustained quiet could favor lower buckets; traders eye breaking developments in SpaceX or xAI for swings before the April 8 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 37%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 11%
NEW
$97,720 Vol.
NEW
$97,720 Vol.
Apr 8, 2026
<40
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
37%
90-114
23%
115-139
11%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 11%
NEW
$97,720 Vol.
NEW
$97,720 Vol.
Apr 8, 2026
<40
$9,529 Vol.
3%
40-64
$2,136 Vol.
29%
65-89
$2,237 Vol.
37%
90-114
$1,482 Vol.
23%
115-139
$1,795 Vol.
11%
140-164
$3,989 Vol.
2%
165-189
$6,330 Vol.
1%
190-214
$20,562 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$18,012 Vol.
<1%
240+
$31,659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 6-8, closely trailed by 40-64 (28.5%), reflecting his recent subdued posting pace of about 17 tweets per day—evident in the April 4-6 market resolving at 33 posts over two days amid lighter news cycles. This competitive dynamic stems from Elon's variable social media habits, which spike during high-stakes events like Tesla updates or political firestorms but have cooled post-March peaks averaging 40-50 daily amid routine engagements. Today's X API upgrades sparked a handful of posts, hinting at potential weekend momentum, though sustained quiet could favor lower buckets; traders eye breaking developments in SpaceX or xAI for swings before the April 8 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$97,720End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 6-8, closely trailed by 40-64 (28.5%), reflecting his recent subdued posting pace of about 17 tweets per day—evident in the April 4-6 market resolving at 33 posts over two days amid lighter news cycles. This competitive dynamic stems from Elon's variable social media habits, which spike during high-stakes events like Tesla updates or political firestorms but have cooled post-March peaks averaging 40-50 daily amid routine engagements. Today's X API upgrades sparked a handful of posts, hinting at potential weekend momentum, though sustained quiet could favor lower buckets; traders eye breaking developments in SpaceX or xAI for swings before the April 8 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 6 12:00 PM ET to April 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$97,720End Date
Apr 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 6-8, closely trailed by 40-64 (28.5%), reflecting his recent subdued posting pace of about 17 tweets per day—evident in the April 4-6 market resolving at 33 posts over two days amid lighter news cycles. This competitive dynamic stems from Elon's variable social media habits, which spike during high-stakes events like Tesla updates or political firestorms but have cooled post-March peaks averaging 40-50 daily amid routine engagements. Today's X API upgrades sparked a handful of posts, hinting at potential weekend momentum, though sustained quiet could favor lower buckets; traders eye breaking developments in SpaceX or xAI for swings before the April 8 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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