Market icon
Politics·Trump

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Apr 7

Apr 10

Apr 14

Apr 7

Apr 10

Apr 14

80-99 48%

100-119 29%

60-79 25%

120-139 19%

Polymarket
NEW

80-99 48%

100-119 29%

60-79 25%

120-139 19%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$712 Vol.

1%

20-39

$30 Vol.

1%

40-59

$202 Vol.

2%

60-79

$0 Vol.

25%

80-99

$5 Vol.

48%

100-119

$0 Vol.

29%

120-139

$0 Vol.

19%

140-159

$0 Vol.

7%

160-179

$0 Vol.

4%

180-199

$0 Vol.

3%

200+

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$949
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$949
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-99" at 48%, followed by "100-119" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" is "80-99" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100-119" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.