Trader consensus clusters evenly around 4,000-7,000+ US flight delays for April 7, reflecting recent BTS and FlightAware data showing daily tallies of 3,500-6,200 amid FAA air traffic controller staffing shortages and volatile spring weather. April 3 disruptions from low clouds over Northeast hubs like BOS, JFK, and PHL, plus thunderstorms in MCO, DTW, and MEM, pushed delays into the 5,000 range, matching March averages near 5,600. Persistent issues like partial DHS shutdowns straining TSA and ongoing ground stops keep the race tight, with no dominant catalyst. Weekend FAA updates on thunderstorms, SLC snow, or LAS winds could separate higher bins if intensified, or lower ones if conditions clear.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated5,000-5,500 48%
5,500-6,000 48%
6,000-6,500 48%
6,500-7,000 48%
<4,000
47%
4,000-4,500
47%
4,500-5,000
47%
5,000-5,500
48%
5,500-6,000
48%
6,000-6,500
48%
6,500-7,000
48%
>7,000
48%
5,000-5,500 48%
5,500-6,000 48%
6,000-6,500 48%
6,500-7,000 48%
<4,000
47%
4,000-4,500
47%
4,500-5,000
47%
5,000-5,500
48%
5,500-6,000
48%
6,000-6,500
48%
6,500-7,000
48%
>7,000
48%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters evenly around 4,000-7,000+ US flight delays for April 7, reflecting recent BTS and FlightAware data showing daily tallies of 3,500-6,200 amid FAA air traffic controller staffing shortages and volatile spring weather. April 3 disruptions from low clouds over Northeast hubs like BOS, JFK, and PHL, plus thunderstorms in MCO, DTW, and MEM, pushed delays into the 5,000 range, matching March averages near 5,600. Persistent issues like partial DHS shutdowns straining TSA and ongoing ground stops keep the race tight, with no dominant catalyst. Weekend FAA updates on thunderstorms, SLC snow, or LAS winds could separate higher bins if intensified, or lower ones if conditions clear.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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