**Trader consensus favors "No" at 74.5% on Rep. Eric Swalwell facing criminal charges by May 31, driven by the absence of DOJ or FBI indictments despite escalating probes.** The House Ethics Committee announced an investigation two days ago into sexual misconduct allegations, including a new accuser's public claim of 2018 assault with plans to report to law enforcement. Swalwell resigned from Congress amid the fallout and withdrew from California's gubernatorial race. Referrals to DOJ over mortgage fraud claims and resurfaced FBI files on his past ties to suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang have renewed scrutiny, but no formal charges have emerged. Procedural delays in federal investigations underpin the low probability of action within six weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favors "No" at 74.5% on Rep. Eric Swalwell facing criminal charges by May 31, driven by the absence of DOJ or FBI indictments despite escalating probes.** The House Ethics Committee announced an investigation two days ago into sexual misconduct allegations, including a new accuser's public claim of 2018 assault with plans to report to law enforcement. Swalwell resigned from Congress amid the fallout and withdrew from California's gubernatorial race. Referrals to DOJ over mortgage fraud claims and resurfaced FBI files on his past ties to suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang have renewed scrutiny, but no formal charges have emerged. Procedural delays in federal investigations underpin the low probability of action within six weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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