Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to the "No" outcome on whether Eric Swalwell would face formal federal or state charges by the May 31 deadline because multiple investigations into recent sexual assault allegations opened in April yet produced no indictments, complaints, or arrests within the window. DOJ review processes, along with parallel inquiries by the Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, routinely require extended evidence evaluation before any charging decision. Historical patterns for comparable cases show charging timelines often exceed initial allegation reporting periods. While a sudden filing on the final day remained theoretically possible, no public records or announcements indicated such action occurred by the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
$2,216 Vol.
$2,216 Vol.
May 31, 2026
<1% chance
$2,216 Vol.
$2,216 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to the "No" outcome on whether Eric Swalwell would face formal federal or state charges by the May 31 deadline because multiple investigations into recent sexual assault allegations opened in April yet produced no indictments, complaints, or arrests within the window. DOJ review processes, along with parallel inquiries by the Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, routinely require extended evidence evaluation before any charging decision. Historical patterns for comparable cases show charging timelines often exceed initial allegation reporting periods. While a sudden filing on the final day remained theoretically possible, no public records or announcements indicated such action occurred by the cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,216End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to the "No" outcome on whether Eric Swalwell would face formal federal or state charges by the May 31 deadline because multiple investigations into recent sexual assault allegations opened in April yet produced no indictments, complaints, or arrests within the window. DOJ review processes, along with parallel inquiries by the Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, routinely require extended evidence evaluation before any charging decision. Historical patterns for comparable cases show charging timelines often exceed initial allegation reporting periods. While a sudden filing on the final day remained theoretically possible, no public records or announcements indicated such action occurred by the cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,216End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to the "No" outcome on whether Eric Swalwell would face formal federal or state charges by the May 31 deadline because multiple investigations into recent sexual assault allegations opened in April yet produced no indictments, complaints, or arrests within the window. DOJ review processes, along with parallel inquiries by the Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys, routinely require extended evidence evaluation before any charging decision. Historical patterns for comparable cases show charging timelines often exceed initial allegation reporting periods. While a sudden filing on the final day remained theoretically possible, no public records or announcements indicated such action occurred by the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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