President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 18 posts per day throughout 2025 and around 19 daily through April 10, 2026, with 75 posts in the first four days of the prior weekly market, anchoring trader consensus toward 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (30%) for April 14-21. Recent escalations in foreign policy rhetoric, including an April 7 ultimatum demanding Iran open the Strait of Hormuz and a nearly 500-word diatribe on April 9 amid supporter backlash over potential conflict, drove a one-night spike exceeding 160 posts but did not sustain higher volume into early April 11. Absent major scheduled announcements or summits, the skin-in-the-game crowd pricing reflects historical base rates during routine presidential communication, with geopolitical tensions as a key volatility factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 44%
80-99 30%
120-139 25%
140-159 21%
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
14%
80-99
30%
100-119
44%
120-139
25%
140-159
21%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200+
3%
100-119 44%
80-99 30%
120-139 25%
140-159 21%
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
NEW
$15,463 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
$12,501 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,335 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,291 Vol.
1%
60-79
$162 Vol.
14%
80-99
$50 Vol.
30%
100-119
$0 Vol.
44%
120-139
$0 Vol.
25%
140-159
$0 Vol.
21%
160-179
$23 Vol.
2%
180-199
$54 Vol.
2%
200+
$47 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 18 posts per day throughout 2025 and around 19 daily through April 10, 2026, with 75 posts in the first four days of the prior weekly market, anchoring trader consensus toward 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (30%) for April 14-21. Recent escalations in foreign policy rhetoric, including an April 7 ultimatum demanding Iran open the Strait of Hormuz and a nearly 500-word diatribe on April 9 amid supporter backlash over potential conflict, drove a one-night spike exceeding 160 posts but did not sustain higher volume into early April 11. Absent major scheduled announcements or summits, the skin-in-the-game crowd pricing reflects historical base rates during routine presidential communication, with geopolitical tensions as a key volatility factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$15,463End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 18 posts per day throughout 2025 and around 19 daily through April 10, 2026, with 75 posts in the first four days of the prior weekly market, anchoring trader consensus toward 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (30%) for April 14-21. Recent escalations in foreign policy rhetoric, including an April 7 ultimatum demanding Iran open the Strait of Hormuz and a nearly 500-word diatribe on April 9 amid supporter backlash over potential conflict, drove a one-night spike exceeding 160 posts but did not sustain higher volume into early April 11. Absent major scheduled announcements or summits, the skin-in-the-game crowd pricing reflects historical base rates during routine presidential communication, with geopolitical tensions as a key volatility factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,463End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting has averaged 18 posts per day throughout 2025 and around 19 daily through April 10, 2026, with 75 posts in the first four days of the prior weekly market, anchoring trader consensus toward 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (30%) for April 14-21. Recent escalations in foreign policy rhetoric, including an April 7 ultimatum demanding Iran open the Strait of Hormuz and a nearly 500-word diatribe on April 9 amid supporter backlash over potential conflict, drove a one-night spike exceeding 160 posts but did not sustain higher volume into early April 11. Absent major scheduled announcements or summits, the skin-in-the-game crowd pricing reflects historical base rates during routine presidential communication, with geopolitical tensions as a key volatility factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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