Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement drive expectations for additional high-level removals through 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, Politburo member Ma Xingrui, and Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun, alongside dozens of other senior officers. Authorities have signaled further action at the Fifth Plenary Session in October, with reports of more than 40 Central Committee members potentially facing expulsion amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These steps reflect sustained pressure on military command structures ahead of the 2027 modernization goals and broader cadre discipline requirements, shaping assessments of likely targets among remaining senior officials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$211,136 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
11%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$211,136 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,751 Vol.
11%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,008 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,189 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,098 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,739 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement drive expectations for additional high-level removals through 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, Politburo member Ma Xingrui, and Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun, alongside dozens of other senior officers. Authorities have signaled further action at the Fifth Plenary Session in October, with reports of more than 40 Central Committee members potentially facing expulsion amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These steps reflect sustained pressure on military command structures ahead of the 2027 modernization goals and broader cadre discipline requirements, shaping assessments of likely targets among remaining senior officials.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$211,136End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement drive expectations for additional high-level removals through 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, Politburo member Ma Xingrui, and Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun, alongside dozens of other senior officers. Authorities have signaled further action at the Fifth Plenary Session in October, with reports of more than 40 Central Committee members potentially facing expulsion amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These steps reflect sustained pressure on military command structures ahead of the 2027 modernization goals and broader cadre discipline requirements, shaping assessments of likely targets among remaining senior officials.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$211,136End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement drive expectations for additional high-level removals through 2026. Recent months have seen investigations and expulsions targeting Central Military Commission figures including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, Politburo member Ma Xingrui, and Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun, alongside dozens of other senior officers. Authorities have signaled further action at the Fifth Plenary Session in October, with reports of more than 40 Central Committee members potentially facing expulsion amid a record pace of ministerial-level probes this year. These steps reflect sustained pressure on military command structures ahead of the 2027 modernization goals and broader cadre discipline requirements, shaping assessments of likely targets among remaining senior officials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions