Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on loyalty have produced ongoing high-level turnover in the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, shaping expectations for additional removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced earlier this year against Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli led to their formal removal from the body in August, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was expelled in July. In early September, Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun and other deputies lost National People’s Congress seats. Party statements point to further action at the Fifth Plenum scheduled for October, where more than 40 Central Committee members may face expulsion amid record ministerial-level probes. These steps target perceived disloyalty and graft across military commands and civilian posts ahead of the 2027 congress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$211,136 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
11%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$211,136 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,751 Vol.
11%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,008 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,189 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,098 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,739 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on loyalty have produced ongoing high-level turnover in the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, shaping expectations for additional removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced earlier this year against Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli led to their formal removal from the body in August, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was expelled in July. In early September, Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun and other deputies lost National People’s Congress seats. Party statements point to further action at the Fifth Plenum scheduled for October, where more than 40 Central Committee members may face expulsion amid record ministerial-level probes. These steps target perceived disloyalty and graft across military commands and civilian posts ahead of the 2027 congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$211,136End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on loyalty have produced ongoing high-level turnover in the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, shaping expectations for additional removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced earlier this year against Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli led to their formal removal from the body in August, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was expelled in July. In early September, Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun and other deputies lost National People’s Congress seats. Party statements point to further action at the Fifth Plenum scheduled for October, where more than 40 Central Committee members may face expulsion amid record ministerial-level probes. These steps target perceived disloyalty and graft across military commands and civilian posts ahead of the 2027 congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$211,136End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on loyalty have produced ongoing high-level turnover in the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, shaping expectations for additional removals through the end of 2026. Investigations announced earlier this year against Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli led to their formal removal from the body in August, while Politburo member Ma Xingrui was expelled in July. In early September, Xi’s longtime aide Zhong Shaojun and other deputies lost National People’s Congress seats. Party statements point to further action at the Fifth Plenum scheduled for October, where more than 40 Central Committee members may face expulsion amid record ministerial-level probes. These steps target perceived disloyalty and graft across military commands and civilian posts ahead of the 2027 congress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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