Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a 2026 launch of the iPhone 18. The company has delivered a new generation each September since 2007, with the iPhone 17 slated for 2025 establishing the direct precedent for the next model. No official announcements, supply-chain disclosures, or credible industry reporting point to any shift in this pattern amid routine semiconductor and manufacturing cycles. While major disruptions such as severe global component shortages, regulatory interventions, or unforeseen technical setbacks could still alter the timeline, these remain low-probability outliers given Apple's historical execution and diversified production base.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
Apple rilascerà iPhone 18 nel 2026?
$111,549 Vol.
$111,549 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$111,549 Vol.
$111,549 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a 2026 launch of the iPhone 18. The company has delivered a new generation each September since 2007, with the iPhone 17 slated for 2025 establishing the direct precedent for the next model. No official announcements, supply-chain disclosures, or credible industry reporting point to any shift in this pattern amid routine semiconductor and manufacturing cycles. While major disruptions such as severe global component shortages, regulatory interventions, or unforeseen technical setbacks could still alter the timeline, these remain low-probability outliers given Apple's historical execution and diversified production base.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$111,549Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a 2026 launch of the iPhone 18. The company has delivered a new generation each September since 2007, with the iPhone 17 slated for 2025 establishing the direct precedent for the next model. No official announcements, supply-chain disclosures, or credible industry reporting point to any shift in this pattern amid routine semiconductor and manufacturing cycles. While major disruptions such as severe global component shortages, regulatory interventions, or unforeseen technical setbacks could still alter the timeline, these remain low-probability outliers given Apple's historical execution and diversified production base.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$111,549Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual release cadence for its flagship iPhone lineup underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a 2026 launch of the iPhone 18. The company has delivered a new generation each September since 2007, with the iPhone 17 slated for 2025 establishing the direct precedent for the next model. No official announcements, supply-chain disclosures, or credible industry reporting point to any shift in this pattern amid routine semiconductor and manufacturing cycles. While major disruptions such as severe global component shortages, regulatory interventions, or unforeseen technical setbacks could still alter the timeline, these remain low-probability outliers given Apple's historical execution and diversified production base.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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