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Sports·Celebrities

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

icon for Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?
Sports·Celebrities

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$308,681 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$308,681 Vol.

Polymarket

February 14

$61,931 Vol.

No

February 28

$58,973 Vol.

No

March 31

$125,112 Vol.

No

April 30

$62,665 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in the Forsen vs. xQc Minecraft speedrun rivalry reflects skepticism on Forsen surpassing xQc's January 27, 2026, personal best of 14:27.035 IGT in Java Edition 1.16.1 RSG Any% to Ender Dragon defeat during a live Twitch stream by April 30 deadline, as Forsen logged more grind hours without breakthrough amid high RNG volatility and live pressure. Recent late-April streams highlighted endgame chokes, like botched crafts and thrown god seeds, stalling momentum despite daily attempts exceeding xQc's prior efforts. Seed luck, execution under viewer scrutiny, and no sub-15-minute PBs since xQc's reclaim keep upside potential low for late surges.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$308,681
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in the Forsen vs. xQc Minecraft speedrun rivalry reflects skepticism on Forsen surpassing xQc's January 27, 2026, personal best of 14:27.035 IGT in Java Edition 1.16.1 RSG Any% to Ender Dragon defeat during a live Twitch stream by April 30 deadline, as Forsen logged more grind hours without breakthrough amid high RNG volatility and live pressure. Recent late-April streams highlighted endgame chokes, like botched crafts and thrown god seeds, stalling momentum despite daily attempts exceeding xQc's prior efforts. Seed luck, execution under viewer scrutiny, and no sub-15-minute PBs since xQc's reclaim keep upside potential low for late surges.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$308,681
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Will XQC Beat Forsens Minecraft Speedrun Record By August 31

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "February 14" at 0%, followed by "February 28" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" has generated $308.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" is "February 14" at just 0%, with "February 28" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.