Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability for "No" on Pam Bondi facing contempt of Congress by April 30, driven primarily by her abrupt refusal yesterday to attend the House Oversight Committee's subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Justice Department handling of Epstein files, just days after President Trump fired her as attorney general on April 2. While Democrats, led by Ranking Member Robert Garcia, issued fresh threats of contempt charges hours ago, the Republican-controlled committee shows no signs of advancing a referral, echoing historical delays in partisan probes where full House votes often stall. Procedural barriers and the tight three-week timeline further dampen momentum, with traders eyeing next week's post-deposition committee response as the pivotal catalyst amid high political uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability for "No" on Pam Bondi facing contempt of Congress by April 30, driven primarily by her abrupt refusal yesterday to attend the House Oversight Committee's subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Justice Department handling of Epstein files, just days after President Trump fired her as attorney general on April 2. While Democrats, led by Ranking Member Robert Garcia, issued fresh threats of contempt charges hours ago, the Republican-controlled committee shows no signs of advancing a referral, echoing historical delays in partisan probes where full House votes often stall. Procedural barriers and the tight three-week timeline further dampen momentum, with traders eyeing next week's post-deposition committee response as the pivotal catalyst amid high political uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability for "No" on Pam Bondi facing contempt of Congress by April 30, driven primarily by her abrupt refusal yesterday to attend the House Oversight Committee's subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Justice Department handling of Epstein files, just days after President Trump fired her as attorney general on April 2. While Democrats, led by Ranking Member Robert Garcia, issued fresh threats of contempt charges hours ago, the Republican-controlled committee shows no signs of advancing a referral, echoing historical delays in partisan probes where full House votes often stall. Procedural barriers and the tight three-week timeline further dampen momentum, with traders eyeing next week's post-deposition committee response as the pivotal catalyst amid high political uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability for "No" on Pam Bondi facing contempt of Congress by April 30, driven primarily by her abrupt refusal yesterday to attend the House Oversight Committee's subpoenaed April 14 deposition on Justice Department handling of Epstein files, just days after President Trump fired her as attorney general on April 2. While Democrats, led by Ranking Member Robert Garcia, issued fresh threats of contempt charges hours ago, the Republican-controlled committee shows no signs of advancing a referral, echoing historical delays in partisan probes where full House votes often stall. Procedural barriers and the tight three-week timeline further dampen momentum, with traders eyeing next week's post-deposition committee response as the pivotal catalyst amid high political uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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