SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in June 2026 via the largest IPO on record at $135 per share for an initial ~$1.8 trillion valuation, face immediate pressure from the August 6 unlock of nearly one billion insider and early-investor shares. The stock has traded volatile since listing, recently declining toward the $114 area amid selling and the company’s first post-IPO earnings on August 4. Traders are focused on potential Starlink revenue momentum, xAI asset integration, and any near-term launch or contract updates as swing factors for the week of August 10, with market-implied odds pricing in the tension between lockup-related supply and underlying operational progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $150
50%
↑ $147.50
50%
↑ $145
50%
↑ $142.50
50%
↑ $140
50%
↑ $137.50
50%
↑ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
50%
↓ $130
50%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
50%
↓ $122.50
50%
↓ $120
50%
↓ $117.50
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $150
50%
↑ $147.50
50%
↑ $145
50%
↑ $142.50
50%
↑ $140
50%
↑ $137.50
50%
↑ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
50%
↓ $130
50%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
50%
↓ $122.50
50%
↓ $120
50%
↓ $117.50
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in June 2026 via the largest IPO on record at $135 per share for an initial ~$1.8 trillion valuation, face immediate pressure from the August 6 unlock of nearly one billion insider and early-investor shares. The stock has traded volatile since listing, recently declining toward the $114 area amid selling and the company’s first post-IPO earnings on August 4. Traders are focused on potential Starlink revenue momentum, xAI asset integration, and any near-term launch or contract updates as swing factors for the week of August 10, with market-implied odds pricing in the tension between lockup-related supply and underlying operational progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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