No credible military, diplomatic, or political signals support a U.S. invasion of Greenland in 2026. Denmark remains a NATO ally, Greenland holds autonomous status with established U.S. basing rights through mutual agreements, and no territorial disputes, resource crises, or security threats have emerged to alter bilateral ties. Trader consensus at 97% against invasion reflects these structural realities, including alliance commitments, international norms against unilateral action on allied territory, and absence of any executive or legislative momentum. Potential shifts would require verifiable escalations such as major diplomatic breakdowns or new geopolitical triggers within the calendar year, none of which appear on the horizon.