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icon for Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Politics·Trump

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

icon for Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Politics·Trump

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Ended: Jun 30

Jul 31

Ended: Jun 30

Jul 31

$1,742,079 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,742,079 Vol.

Polymarket

June 2

$29,334 Vol.

Yes

June 3

$47,817 Vol.

Yes

June 4

$112,358 Vol.

Yes

June 5

$34,223 Vol.

Yes

June 6

$58,913 Vol.

Yes

June 7

$71,248 Vol.

No

June 8

$29,524 Vol.

Yes

June 9

$30,429 Vol.

Yes

June 10

$26,395 Vol.

Yes

June 11

$27,134 Vol.

Yes

June 12

$53,373 Vol.

Yes

June 13

$25,646 Vol.

Yes

June 14

$24,891 Vol.

Yes

June 15

$13,885 Vol.

Yes

June 16

$110,399 Vol.

Yes

June 17

$16,658 Vol.

Yes

June 18

$17,528 Vol.

Yes

June 19

$12,557 Vol.

Yes

June 20

$13,120 Vol.

Yes

June 21

$822,010 Vol.

No

June 22

$19,476 Vol.

Yes

June 23

$22,879 Vol.

Yes

June 24

$22,720 Vol.

Yes

June 25

$15,168 Vol.

Yes

June 26

$18,596 Vol.

Yes

June 27

$18,479 Vol.

Yes

June 28

$15,112 Vol.

Yes

June 29

$17,273 Vol.

Yes

June 30

$14,934 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on date-specific insult markets.** As president in June 2026, he has repeatedly targeted foreign leaders during the ongoing G7 summit in France, including references to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as “Governor” amid trade disputes and dismissals of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as lacking Churchill-like resolve over Iran policy differences. Similar exchanges have occurred with French President Emmanuel Macron and in Oval Office or press settings, where Trump has labeled journalists such as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and NBC’s Kristen Welker in personal terms. These incidents align with his documented approach on social platforms and in public remarks. Markets reflect this baseline frequency, with traders monitoring scheduled press conferences, summit sessions, and social media activity for resolution triggers on specific dates. Historical volume on related Polymarket contracts underscores consistent engagement around such events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,742,079
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on date-specific insult markets.** As president in June 2026, he has repeatedly targeted foreign leaders during the ongoing G7 summit in France, including references to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as “Governor” amid trade disputes and dismissals of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as lacking Churchill-like resolve over Iran policy differences. Similar exchanges have occurred with French President Emmanuel Macron and in Oval Office or press settings, where Trump has labeled journalists such as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and NBC’s Kristen Welker in personal terms. These incidents align with his documented approach on social platforms and in public remarks. Markets reflect this baseline frequency, with traders monitoring scheduled press conferences, summit sessions, and social media activity for resolution triggers on specific dates. Historical volume on related Polymarket contracts underscores consistent engagement around such events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,742,079
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 2" at 100%, followed by "June 3" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" is "June 2" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 3" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.