Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourContrat civil 91%
Alliance Arménie 6%
Héritage 1.8%
Parti Hanrapetutyun 1.6%
$104,391 Vol.
$104,391 Vol.
7 juin 2026
Contrat civil
91%
Alliance Arménie
6%
Héritage
2%
Parti Hanrapetutyun
2%
Arménie Prospère
2%
Congrès national arménien
1%
Orinats Yerkir
1%
Alliance J'ai l'Honneur
<1%
Arménie lumineuse
<1%
Contrat civil 91%
Alliance Arménie 6%
Héritage 1.8%
Parti Hanrapetutyun 1.6%
$104,391 Vol.
$104,391 Vol.
7 juin 2026
Contrat civil
$41,627 Vol.
91%
Alliance Arménie
$49,743 Vol.
6%
Héritage
$1,865 Vol.
2%
Parti Hanrapetutyun
$1,588 Vol.
2%
Arménie Prospère
$1,658 Vol.
2%
Congrès national arménien
$2,110 Vol.
1%
Orinats Yerkir
$1,910 Vol.
1%
Alliance J'ai l'Honneur
$1,509 Vol.
<1%
Arménie lumineuse
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$104,391Date de fin
7 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$104,391Date de fin
7 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% for Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election stems from recent polls, including EVN Report's April 6 survey showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead amid opposition fragmentation across 21 registered forces. As the only party to fully submit its candidate list by mid-April ahead of the April 23 deadline, Civil Contract benefits from proportional representation rules that favor the largest bloc, with undecided voters (around 30% in March polls) unlikely to consolidate challengers like Armenia Alliance or Strong Armenia. Scenarios challenging this include a late opposition merger securing a constitutional majority threshold, Pashinyan administration scandals, or geopolitical shocks like Azerbaijan border escalations disrupting voter priorities on peace and EU integration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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