Recent polls, including CAM's April 14 survey and the PolitPro poll trend, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 31-32% with GERB-SDS in a commanding second at 19-23%, roughly double PP–DB's 11-12% for third place—a pattern holding steady across April surveys from Sova Harris and CAR. This polling consensus, reflecting GERB-SDS's enduring center-right base amid Bulgaria's fragmented snap election landscape on April 19, underpins trader sentiment pricing a near-certain second-place finish. With the caretaker government vowing crackdowns on vote-buying and EU monitoring underway, stability favors the status quo; realistic challenges would require a dramatic late surge by PP–DB, turnout shifts among undecideds, or a major scandal in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire bulgare : 2e place
Élection parlementaire bulgare : 2e place
GERB-SDS 95.1%
PP–DB 2.1%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,695 Vol.
$58,695 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
GERB-SDS
95%
PP–DB
2%
PB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Renaissance (Vazrazhdane)
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 95.1%
PP–DB 2.1%
PB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$58,695 Vol.
$58,695 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
GERB-SDS
$24,968 Vol.
95%
PP–DB
$8,272 Vol.
2%
PB
$8,458 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Renaissance (Vazrazhdane)
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM's April 14 survey and the PolitPro poll trend, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 31-32% with GERB-SDS in a commanding second at 19-23%, roughly double PP–DB's 11-12% for third place—a pattern holding steady across April surveys from Sova Harris and CAR. This polling consensus, reflecting GERB-SDS's enduring center-right base amid Bulgaria's fragmented snap election landscape on April 19, underpins trader sentiment pricing a near-certain second-place finish. With the caretaker government vowing crackdowns on vote-buying and EU monitoring underway, stability favors the status quo; realistic challenges would require a dramatic late surge by PP–DB, turnout shifts among undecideds, or a major scandal in the final days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$58,695Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM's April 14 survey and the PolitPro poll trend, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 31-32% with GERB-SDS in a commanding second at 19-23%, roughly double PP–DB's 11-12% for third place—a pattern holding steady across April surveys from Sova Harris and CAR. This polling consensus, reflecting GERB-SDS's enduring center-right base amid Bulgaria's fragmented snap election landscape on April 19, underpins trader sentiment pricing a near-certain second-place finish. With the caretaker government vowing crackdowns on vote-buying and EU monitoring underway, stability favors the status quo; realistic challenges would require a dramatic late surge by PP–DB, turnout shifts among undecideds, or a major scandal in the final days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$58,695Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including CAM's April 14 survey and the PolitPro poll trend, show Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 31-32% with GERB-SDS in a commanding second at 19-23%, roughly double PP–DB's 11-12% for third place—a pattern holding steady across April surveys from Sova Harris and CAR. This polling consensus, reflecting GERB-SDS's enduring center-right base amid Bulgaria's fragmented snap election landscape on April 19, underpins trader sentiment pricing a near-certain second-place finish. With the caretaker government vowing crackdowns on vote-buying and EU monitoring underway, stability favors the status quo; realistic challenges would require a dramatic late surge by PP–DB, turnout shifts among undecideds, or a major scandal in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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