Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire bulgare : 2e place
Élection parlementaire bulgare : 2e place
GERB-SDS 95.8%
PB 2.5%
PP–DB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$59,699 Vol.
$59,699 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
GERB-SDS
96%
PB
2%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
Renaissance (Vazrazhdane)
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 95.8%
PB 2.5%
PP–DB 2.1%
DPS <1%
$59,699 Vol.
$59,699 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
GERB-SDS
$25,393 Vol.
96%
PB
$8,750 Vol.
2%
PP–DB
$8,559 Vol.
2%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
Renaissance (Vazrazhdane)
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$59,699Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$59,699Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors GERB-SDS for second place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, reflecting consistent polls over the past two weeks showing the center-right alliance at 19-21%—a double-digit lead over PP-DB at 12-13% and others trailing further behind Progressive Bulgaria's dominant 32-37% first-place position. This positioning stems from GERB-SDS's steady consolidation as the main establishment alternative amid voter fatigue with repeated elections since 2021, bolstered by recent surveys from firms like CAR, Market Links, and Sova Harris confirming the gap. Under proportional representation, securing second ensures key leverage in coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout boosting nationalists like Vazrazhdane, or PP-DB consolidating anti-corruption votes, though polls show scant momentum for shifts in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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