Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and CAR (April 3-14), position Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-34% and GERB-SDS second at 19%, with PP-DB consistently polling 11-12% to edge DPS at 9.7-11.2% for third place ahead of Vazrazhdane's 7-8%. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow but steady PP-DB lead in vote intention surveys over the past month, amid Bulgaria's eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 under proportional representation. DPS maintains a reliable ethnic minority base, while low expected turnout around 51% could solidify frontrunners. With the April 19 vote days away, no major shifts have emerged despite anti-corruption probes and foreign interference concerns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire bulgare : 3e place
Élection parlementaire bulgare : 3e place
PP–DB 72%
DPS 19%
Vazrazhdane 5.1%
GERB-SDS 1.3%
$79,642 Vol.
$79,642 Vol.

PP–DB
72%

DPS
19%

Vazrazhdane
5%

GERB-SDS
1%

MECh
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%

Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 72%
DPS 19%
Vazrazhdane 5.1%
GERB-SDS 1.3%
$79,642 Vol.
$79,642 Vol.

PP–DB
72%

DPS
19%

Vazrazhdane
5%

GERB-SDS
1%

MECh
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%

Velichie
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and CAR (April 3-14), position Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-34% and GERB-SDS second at 19%, with PP-DB consistently polling 11-12% to edge DPS at 9.7-11.2% for third place ahead of Vazrazhdane's 7-8%. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow but steady PP-DB lead in vote intention surveys over the past month, amid Bulgaria's eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 under proportional representation. DPS maintains a reliable ethnic minority base, while low expected turnout around 51% could solidify frontrunners. With the April 19 vote days away, no major shifts have emerged despite anti-corruption probes and foreign interference concerns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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