**Recent polls consistently project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, to win first place with 30-34% support, GERB-SDS second at around 19%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, shaping trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation.** Surveys from Market Links (April 16), CAR, Sova Harris, and CAM (April 14) reinforce this order, with PB surging on anti-corruption appeals amid Bulgaria's eighth vote in five years following government collapse. DPS trails at 7-9%, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist base caps it below third. Election-eve scrutiny on vote-buying by interim PM Andrey Gyurov highlights integrity risks, but stable polling trends underpin PP-DB's strong implied probability for third, barring turnout shifts or fraud disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire bulgare : 3e place
Élection parlementaire bulgare : 3e place
PP–DB 78%
DPS 16%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,808 Vol.
$80,808 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
PP–DB
78%
DPS
16%
Vazrazhdane
4%
GERB-SDS
3%
MECh
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 78%
DPS 16%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,808 Vol.
$80,808 Vol.
19 avr. 2026
PP–DB
$23,895 Vol.
78%
DPS
$12,803 Vol.
16%
Vazrazhdane
$3,109 Vol.
4%
GERB-SDS
$10,148 Vol.
3%
MECh
$3,263 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$20,073 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
PB
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
APS
$2,076 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).**Recent polls consistently project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, to win first place with 30-34% support, GERB-SDS second at around 19%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, shaping trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation.** Surveys from Market Links (April 16), CAR, Sova Harris, and CAM (April 14) reinforce this order, with PB surging on anti-corruption appeals amid Bulgaria's eighth vote in five years following government collapse. DPS trails at 7-9%, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist base caps it below third. Election-eve scrutiny on vote-buying by interim PM Andrey Gyurov highlights integrity risks, but stable polling trends underpin PP-DB's strong implied probability for third, barring turnout shifts or fraud disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$80,808Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).**Recent polls consistently project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, to win first place with 30-34% support, GERB-SDS second at around 19%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, shaping trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation.** Surveys from Market Links (April 16), CAR, Sova Harris, and CAM (April 14) reinforce this order, with PB surging on anti-corruption appeals amid Bulgaria's eighth vote in five years following government collapse. DPS trails at 7-9%, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist base caps it below third. Election-eve scrutiny on vote-buying by interim PM Andrey Gyurov highlights integrity risks, but stable polling trends underpin PP-DB's strong implied probability for third, barring turnout shifts or fraud disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$80,808Date de fin
19 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polls consistently project Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, to win first place with 30-34% support, GERB-SDS second at around 19%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, shaping trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation.** Surveys from Market Links (April 16), CAR, Sova Harris, and CAM (April 14) reinforce this order, with PB surging on anti-corruption appeals amid Bulgaria's eighth vote in five years following government collapse. DPS trails at 7-9%, while Vazrazhdane's nationalist base caps it below third. Election-eve scrutiny on vote-buying by interim PM Andrey Gyurov highlights integrity risks, but stable polling trends underpin PP-DB's strong implied probability for third, barring turnout shifts or fraud disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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