California's June 2 jungle primary for the 4th Congressional District featured incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeking his 15th term after Proposition 50 redistricting added substantial new rural and suburban territory from counties including Placer, Sacramento, and Yuba. Thompson led early returns with roughly 39% of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at 22% and fellow Democrat Eric Jones at 21%, positioning Thompson and Riehle as the likely top-two advancers to the November general under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. Trader focus centers on Jones's funded challenge and the district's shifted partisan balance, with limited late developments altering the established vote trajectory ahead of final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$44,455 Vol.
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
82%
Sharon Brown
4%
John Wesley Tyler
1%
Laurie MacKenzie
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
Trevor Merrell
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
$44,455 Vol.
Mike Thompson
100%
Eric Jones
82%
Sharon Brown
4%
John Wesley Tyler
1%
Laurie MacKenzie
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
Trevor Merrell
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's June 2 jungle primary for the 4th Congressional District featured incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeking his 15th term after Proposition 50 redistricting added substantial new rural and suburban territory from counties including Placer, Sacramento, and Yuba. Thompson led early returns with roughly 39% of the vote, followed by Republican Ray Riehle at 22% and fellow Democrat Eric Jones at 21%, positioning Thompson and Riehle as the likely top-two advancers to the November general under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. Trader focus centers on Jones's funded challenge and the district's shifted partisan balance, with limited late developments altering the established vote trajectory ahead of final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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