Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate fundraising in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with Jones at $3.2 million raised and Thompson at $2.9 million per March 31 FEC reports, far outpacing six fragmented Republicans totaling under $150,000. Redistricting from Proposition 50, approved November 2025, redrew boundaries across Napa, Sonoma, and Solano counties into a Solid Democratic seat (Cook PVI D+8), heightening GOP vote-splitting risks in the nonpartisan primary. No public polls exist, but Thompson's Democratic Party endorsement and Jones's Our Revolution backing underscore their edge; early voting starts May 4, with turnout pivotal amid local focus on their ideological and generational contrast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$22,099 Vol.
2 juin 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
Trevor Merrell
11%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
Mandy Ghusar
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
$22,099 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$6,602 Vol.
99%
Eric Jones
$4,475 Vol.
90%
Heath Fulkerson
$315 Vol.
11%
Trevor Merrell
$6,994 Vol.
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$670 Vol.
9%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 Vol.
7%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 Vol.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Vol.
5%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate fundraising in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with Jones at $3.2 million raised and Thompson at $2.9 million per March 31 FEC reports, far outpacing six fragmented Republicans totaling under $150,000. Redistricting from Proposition 50, approved November 2025, redrew boundaries across Napa, Sonoma, and Solano counties into a Solid Democratic seat (Cook PVI D+8), heightening GOP vote-splitting risks in the nonpartisan primary. No public polls exist, but Thompson's Democratic Party endorsement and Jones's Our Revolution backing underscore their edge; early voting starts May 4, with turnout pivotal amid local focus on their ideological and generational contrast.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$22,099Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate fundraising in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with Jones at $3.2 million raised and Thompson at $2.9 million per March 31 FEC reports, far outpacing six fragmented Republicans totaling under $150,000. Redistricting from Proposition 50, approved November 2025, redrew boundaries across Napa, Sonoma, and Solano counties into a Solid Democratic seat (Cook PVI D+8), heightening GOP vote-splitting risks in the nonpartisan primary. No public polls exist, but Thompson's Democratic Party endorsement and Jones's Our Revolution backing underscore their edge; early voting starts May 4, with turnout pivotal amid local focus on their ideological and generational contrast.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,099Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate fundraising in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with Jones at $3.2 million raised and Thompson at $2.9 million per March 31 FEC reports, far outpacing six fragmented Republicans totaling under $150,000. Redistricting from Proposition 50, approved November 2025, redrew boundaries across Napa, Sonoma, and Solano counties into a Solid Democratic seat (Cook PVI D+8), heightening GOP vote-splitting risks in the nonpartisan primary. No public polls exist, but Thompson's Democratic Party endorsement and Jones's Our Revolution backing underscore their edge; early voting starts May 4, with turnout pivotal amid local focus on their ideological and generational contrast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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