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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

Market icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

Mar 27

Apr 3

Mar 27

Apr 3

90–95 46%

80–85 40%

95+ 36%

<75 0

Polymarket
NEW

90–95 46%

80–85 40%

95+ 36%

<75 0

Polymarket
NEW

<75

$126 Vol.

34%

75–80

$70 Vol.

-

80–85

$99 Vol.

40%

85–90

$121 Vol.

38%

90–95

$122 Vol.

34%

95+

$99 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for the cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population by week 12 of 2026 (late March), with market-implied odds clustered around 75–90 as frontrunners at 34–43%, signaling expectations of a typical-to-moderate severity season akin to 2023–24's 77.9 per 100k. This positioning draws from CDC historical baselines, where rates vary widely (e.g., 106+ in severe 2022–23 vs. milder recent years), influenced by dominant strains—H3N2 often drives higher hospitalizations due to poorer vaccine match and elderly vulnerability. Differentiating factors include forthcoming 2025–26 vaccine efficacy against circulating variants, early-season ILI surveillance trends, and vaccination uptake rates above 50% in priority groups. CDC weekly FluView updates through winter will refine model consensus on transmission dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$585
Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for the cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population by week 12 of 2026 (late March), with market-implied odds clustered around 75–90 as frontrunners at 34–43%, signaling expectations of a typical-to-moderate severity season akin to 2023–24's 77.9 per 100k. This positioning draws from CDC historical baselines, where rates vary widely (e.g., 106+ in severe 2022–23 vs. milder recent years), influenced by dominant strains—H3N2 often drives higher hospitalizations due to poorer vaccine match and elderly vulnerability. Differentiating factors include forthcoming 2025–26 vaccine efficacy against circulating variants, early-season ILI surveillance trends, and vaccination uptake rates above 50% in priority groups. CDC weekly FluView updates through winter will refine model consensus on transmission dynamics.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for the cumulative U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 population by week 12 of 2026 (late March), with market-implied odds clustered around 75–90 as frontrunners at 34–43%, signaling expectations of a typical-to-moderate severity season akin to 2023–24's 77.9 per 100k. This positioning draws from CDC historical baselines, where rates vary widely (e.g., 106+ in severe 2022–23 vs. milder recent years), influenced by dominant strains—H3N2 often drives higher hospitalizations due to poorer vaccine match and elderly vulnerability. Differentiating factors include forthcoming 2025–26 vaccine efficacy against circulating variants, early-season ILI surveillance trends, and vaccination uptake rates above 50% in priority groups. CDC weekly FluView updates through winter will refine model consensus on transmission dynamics.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 75–80 » à 43%, suivi de « 80–85 » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 27, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026? » est « 75–80 » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 80–85 » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.