The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia's 13th congressional district, created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced a July 28 first-round result in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff. Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. together captured the large majority of votes in the solidly Democratic-leaning Atlanta metro district, while Republican candidates received under 14 percent combined. With the contest reduced to an intra-party matchup, traders have priced in a near-certain Democratic outcome. The only realistic path to a Republican win would require an unforeseen reversal of the runoff result or a successful legal challenge to the certified winner, neither of which has emerged in available reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,320 Vol.
$35,320 Vol.
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$35,320 Vol.
$35,320 Vol.
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia's 13th congressional district, created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced a July 28 first-round result in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff. Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. together captured the large majority of votes in the solidly Democratic-leaning Atlanta metro district, while Republican candidates received under 14 percent combined. With the contest reduced to an intra-party matchup, traders have priced in a near-certain Democratic outcome. The only realistic path to a Republican win would require an unforeseen reversal of the runoff result or a successful legal challenge to the certified winner, neither of which has emerged in available reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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