Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 Vol.
$56,748 Vol.
8 mai 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 Vol.
$56,748 Vol.
8 mai 2026
9°C or below
$3,393 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,387 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,386 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,667 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,298 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,197 Vol.
No
15°C
$7,735 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$7,240 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,796 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,373 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$4,279 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$56,748Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,748Date de fin
8 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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