Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a likely overnight low near 25°C for Tokyo on July 18, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling, urban heat island effects from Tokyo's dense infrastructure retaining warmth, and humidity levels near 75–80% that limit temperature drops. High-pressure steering patterns and light winds could further stabilize minima in the mid-20s, while any late-afternoon showers or clearer skies introduce uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 18 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 18 juillet ?
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,659 Vol.
$18,659 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,659 Vol.
$18,659 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
20°C ou moins
$232 Vol.
Non
21°C
$479 Vol.
Non
22°C
$932 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,179 Vol.
Non
24°C
$2,013 Vol.
Non
25°C
$5,530 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$4,417 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,259 Vol.
Non
28°C
$589 Vol.
Non
29°C
$649 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$380 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a likely overnight low near 25°C for Tokyo on July 18, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling, urban heat island effects from Tokyo's dense infrastructure retaining warmth, and humidity levels near 75–80% that limit temperature drops. High-pressure steering patterns and light winds could further stabilize minima in the mid-20s, while any late-afternoon showers or clearer skies introduce uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,659Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a likely overnight low near 25°C for Tokyo on July 18, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling, urban heat island effects from Tokyo's dense infrastructure retaining warmth, and humidity levels near 75–80% that limit temperature drops. High-pressure steering patterns and light winds could further stabilize minima in the mid-20s, while any late-afternoon showers or clearer skies introduce uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,659Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a likely overnight low near 25°C for Tokyo on July 18, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling, urban heat island effects from Tokyo's dense infrastructure retaining warmth, and humidity levels near 75–80% that limit temperature drops. High-pressure steering patterns and light winds could further stabilize minima in the mid-20s, while any late-afternoon showers or clearer skies introduce uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes