Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a daily minimum around 12–13°C for Toronto on September 23, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under building high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 8–10°C that limit radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed temperature bins, where trader probabilities cluster around 20%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of onshore winds (15–20 km/h), which moderate overnight lows, versus any increase in cloud cover that could raise the minimum by 1–2°C. Model consensus remains tight within a 2–3°C range, with resolution depending on final observational data from Pearson Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 23 septembre ?
5°C ou moins 99%
15°C ou plus 98%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
5°C ou moins
99%
6°C
39%
7°C
20%
8°C
20%
9°C
20%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C ou plus
98%
5°C ou moins 99%
15°C ou plus 98%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
5°C ou moins
99%
6°C
39%
7°C
20%
8°C
20%
9°C
20%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C ou plus
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a daily minimum around 12–13°C for Toronto on September 23, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under building high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 8–10°C that limit radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed temperature bins, where trader probabilities cluster around 20%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of onshore winds (15–20 km/h), which moderate overnight lows, versus any increase in cloud cover that could raise the minimum by 1–2°C. Model consensus remains tight within a 2–3°C range, with resolution depending on final observational data from Pearson Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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