Recent weather model runs from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal boundary and associated westerly flow will deliver cooler maritime air to central Poland by September 21, with daytime highs forecast near 14–15 °C amid periods of showers and 70–90 % cloud cover. Strong westerly winds of 15–25 km/h are expected to limit daytime warming, while the timing of any heavier rain relative to peak solar heating introduces modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover around 19 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the approaching low-pressure system. Market-implied odds, with 15 °C leading at 46.5 % followed by 16 °C and 14 °C, reflect trader consensus on this forecast range while acknowledging residual model spread and the potential for slight revisions in the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
15°C 48%
14°C 28%
16°C 20%
13°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
28%
15°C
48%
16°C
20%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 48%
14°C 28%
16°C 20%
13°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$267 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$97 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$179 Vol.
5%
14°C
$469 Vol.
28%
15°C
$773 Vol.
48%
16°C
$2,044 Vol.
20%
17°C
$198 Vol.
4%
18°C
$200 Vol.
2%
19°C
$85 Vol.
1%
20°C ou plus
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal boundary and associated westerly flow will deliver cooler maritime air to central Poland by September 21, with daytime highs forecast near 14–15 °C amid periods of showers and 70–90 % cloud cover. Strong westerly winds of 15–25 km/h are expected to limit daytime warming, while the timing of any heavier rain relative to peak solar heating introduces modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover around 19 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the approaching low-pressure system. Market-implied odds, with 15 °C leading at 46.5 % followed by 16 °C and 14 °C, reflect trader consensus on this forecast range while acknowledging residual model spread and the potential for slight revisions in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,500Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal boundary and associated westerly flow will deliver cooler maritime air to central Poland by September 21, with daytime highs forecast near 14–15 °C amid periods of showers and 70–90 % cloud cover. Strong westerly winds of 15–25 km/h are expected to limit daytime warming, while the timing of any heavier rain relative to peak solar heating introduces modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover around 19 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the approaching low-pressure system. Market-implied odds, with 15 °C leading at 46.5 % followed by 16 °C and 14 °C, reflect trader consensus on this forecast range while acknowledging residual model spread and the potential for slight revisions in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,500Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model runs from sources including the GFS indicate a frontal boundary and associated westerly flow will deliver cooler maritime air to central Poland by September 21, with daytime highs forecast near 14–15 °C amid periods of showers and 70–90 % cloud cover. Strong westerly winds of 15–25 km/h are expected to limit daytime warming, while the timing of any heavier rain relative to peak solar heating introduces modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover around 19 °C, so the current pattern represents a notable cool anomaly driven by the approaching low-pressure system. Market-implied odds, with 15 °C leading at 46.5 % followed by 16 °C and 14 °C, reflect trader consensus on this forecast range while acknowledging residual model spread and the potential for slight revisions in the final 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes