Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Turkey, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds for Ankara on September 21. This setup favors afternoon highs clustering between 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 25°C. Multiple short-range models converge on peak readings around 25–26°C by early afternoon, with limited spread suggesting low probability of outliers above 27°C or below 24°C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest guidance, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 21 septembre ?
26°C 65%
25°C 31%
24°C 5%
27°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
31%
26°C
65%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 65%
25°C 31%
24°C 5%
27°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$88 Vol.
1%
22°C
$191 Vol.
1%
23°C
$551 Vol.
2%
24°C
$859 Vol.
5%
25°C
$957 Vol.
31%
26°C
$4,963 Vol.
65%
27°C
$778 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$445 Vol.
1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$211 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Turkey, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds for Ankara on September 21. This setup favors afternoon highs clustering between 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 25°C. Multiple short-range models converge on peak readings around 25–26°C by early afternoon, with limited spread suggesting low probability of outliers above 27°C or below 24°C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest guidance, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,168Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Turkey, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds for Ankara on September 21. This setup favors afternoon highs clustering between 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 25°C. Multiple short-range models converge on peak readings around 25–26°C by early afternoon, with limited spread suggesting low probability of outliers above 27°C or below 24°C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest guidance, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,168Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Turkey, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds for Ankara on September 21. This setup favors afternoon highs clustering between 24–26°C, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 25°C. Multiple short-range models converge on peak readings around 25–26°C by early afternoon, with limited spread suggesting low probability of outliers above 27°C or below 24°C. No incoming fronts or significant moisture advection appear in the latest guidance, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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