Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 21 will most likely fall between 12–14°C during the pre-dawn hours, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Official guidance and ensemble runs show overnight lows near 13°C at representative stations, with minor variations arising from differences in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover timing, and local topography. Historical September climatology for the region supports typical minima around 14°C, but current drier conditions and modest wind speeds favor slightly stronger cooling. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 12–14°C outcomes because short-range model spreads remain within 1–2°C, while probabilities decline sharply outside this band given the proximity to resolution and limited scope for unexpected shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 21 septembre ?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
11°C 37%
10°C ou moins
9%
11°C
37%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
1%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
11°C 37%
10°C ou moins
9%
11°C
37%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 21 will most likely fall between 12–14°C during the pre-dawn hours, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Official guidance and ensemble runs show overnight lows near 13°C at representative stations, with minor variations arising from differences in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover timing, and local topography. Historical September climatology for the region supports typical minima around 14°C, but current drier conditions and modest wind speeds favor slightly stronger cooling. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 12–14°C outcomes because short-range model spreads remain within 1–2°C, while probabilities decline sharply outside this band given the proximity to resolution and limited scope for unexpected shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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