Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Houston le 2 mai ?
Température la plus élevée à Houston le 2 mai ?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73 °F <1%
$77,511 Vol.
$77,511 Vol.
2 mai 2026
69°F ou moins
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Oui
78-79 °F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87 °F
Non
88°F ou plus
Non
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73 °F <1%
$77,511 Vol.
$77,511 Vol.
2 mai 2026
69°F ou moins
$11,965 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$5,295 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$4,606 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$8,649 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$6,957 Vol.
Oui
78-79 °F
$10,630 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$7,415 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$5,669 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$3,544 Vol.
Non
86-87 °F
$9,011 Vol.
Non
88°F ou plus
$3,770 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$77,511Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$77,511Date de fin
2 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated reporting station, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 76-77°F, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a recent cold front ushering in cooler continental air, northerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limited solar heating and daytime highs to 6-7°F below the 83°F May climatological normal. Forecast models from NOAA accurately anticipated this suppression, aligning trader sentiment with verified METAR data. While post-preliminary quality checks by the National Centers for Environmental Information rarely alter records, a challenge could arise from sensor recalibration or site-specific anomalies, though none are indicated.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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