Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 24 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 24 août ?
28°C 45%
27°C 31%
29°C 22%
26°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C ou moins
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
31%
28°C
45%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C ou plus
3%
28°C 45%
27°C 31%
29°C 22%
26°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
3%
25°C
$101 Vol.
3%
26°C
$54 Vol.
5%
27°C
$150 Vol.
31%
28°C
$35 Vol.
45%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$363Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$363Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's peak temperature on August 24 will hinge on a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong insolation, with daytime maxima centered near 27–29 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing: lighter northeasterly winds could allow greater surface heating while a stronger Bosphorus sea breeze may cap readings by advecting cooler marine air. Urban heat-island effects at the official observing site add minor variability, and any late-day convective clouds could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs will likely tighten trader consensus around these narrow temperature thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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