Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 11 septembre ?
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,247 Vol.
$27,247 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,247 Vol.
$27,247 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$416 Vol.
Non
22°C
$343 Vol.
Non
23°C
$207 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,890 Vol.
Non
25°C
$8,443 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$4,115 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,300 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,197 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,778 Vol.
Non
30°C
$4,298 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$261 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27,247Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,247Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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