Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and recent observations underpin the 95.8% trader consensus for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 18, with projections of 26–28°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of the April dry season. On April 15, Tacubaya observatory recorded a maximum of 28°C, and April 16 forecasts indicate 27–29°C highs under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers unlikely to suppress daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF supports steady warmth without incoming cold fronts or strong Pacific moisture. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen vaguada or heavy convective activity cooling peaks below 26°C, though low probability; monitor SMN's daily 12Z updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official Tacubaya data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 18?
26°C or higher 97.0%
24°C 1.5%
25°C 1.1%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97.0%
24°C 1.5%
25°C 1.1%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
16°C or below
$503 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$403 Vol.
1%
19°C
$477 Vol.
1%
20°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,969 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,290 Vol.
1%
23°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,008 Vol.
1%
25°C
$403 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$744 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and recent observations underpin the 95.8% trader consensus for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 18, with projections of 26–28°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of the April dry season. On April 15, Tacubaya observatory recorded a maximum of 28°C, and April 16 forecasts indicate 27–29°C highs under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers unlikely to suppress daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF supports steady warmth without incoming cold fronts or strong Pacific moisture. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen vaguada or heavy convective activity cooling peaks below 26°C, though low probability; monitor SMN's daily 12Z updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official Tacubaya data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ET
Volume
$8,046Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and recent observations underpin the 95.8% trader consensus for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 18, with projections of 26–28°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of the April dry season. On April 15, Tacubaya observatory recorded a maximum of 28°C, and April 16 forecasts indicate 27–29°C highs under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers unlikely to suppress daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF supports steady warmth without incoming cold fronts or strong Pacific moisture. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen vaguada or heavy convective activity cooling peaks below 26°C, though low probability; monitor SMN's daily 12Z updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official Tacubaya data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,046Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and recent observations underpin the 95.8% trader consensus for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 18, with projections of 26–28°C amid persistent warm, dry conditions typical of the April dry season. On April 15, Tacubaya observatory recorded a maximum of 28°C, and April 16 forecasts indicate 27–29°C highs under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers unlikely to suppress daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF supports steady warmth without incoming cold fronts or strong Pacific moisture. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen vaguada or heavy convective activity cooling peaks below 26°C, though low probability; monitor SMN's daily 12Z updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official Tacubaya data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes