Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 15 juillet ?
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 Vol.
$44,673 Vol.
15 juil. 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 Vol.
$44,673 Vol.
15 juil. 2026
20°C ou moins
$2,452 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,487 Vol.
Non
22°C
$3,375 Vol.
Non
23°C
$5,286 Vol.
Non
24°C
$4,476 Vol.
Non
25°C
$9,240 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$6,639 Vol.
Non
27°C
$5,839 Vol.
Non
28°C
$3,288 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,080 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$1,509 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$44,673Date de fin
15 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,673Date de fin
15 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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