Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on September 19 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities favoring 25°C or 26°C+. Persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy season conditions at the city's 2,240 m elevation—limit daytime heating and keep values near the September average high of about 24°C. Recent observations show similar overcast patterns moderating maxima, while model consensus supports a modest chance of brief clearing allowing a peak near or above 26°C. Official station readings, such as from Benito Juárez International Airport, will resolve the market, with any shifts in precipitation timing or wind patterns potentially altering the exact high before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 19 septembre ?
25°C 48%
26°C ou plus 43%
24°C 11%
22°C 2%
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
48%
26°C ou plus
43%
25°C 48%
26°C ou plus 43%
24°C 11%
22°C 2%
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
48%
26°C ou plus
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on September 19 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities favoring 25°C or 26°C+. Persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle—typical for late rainy season conditions at the city's 2,240 m elevation—limit daytime heating and keep values near the September average high of about 24°C. Recent observations show similar overcast patterns moderating maxima, while model consensus supports a modest chance of brief clearing allowing a peak near or above 26°C. Official station readings, such as from Benito Juárez International Airport, will resolve the market, with any shifts in precipitation timing or wind patterns potentially altering the exact high before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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