Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 10 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 10 juin ?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
72-73 °F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$136,179 Vol.
$136,179 Vol.
10 juin 2026
71°F ou moins
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79 °F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83°F
Oui
84-85°F
Non
30-30,5°C
Non
88-89 °F
Non
90°F ou plus
Non
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
72-73 °F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$136,179 Vol.
$136,179 Vol.
10 juin 2026
71°F ou moins
$1,610 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$4,985 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$5,367 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$11,471 Vol.
Non
78-79 °F
$14,194 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$14,885 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$20,403 Vol.
Oui
84-85°F
$25,512 Vol.
Non
30-30,5°C
$23,041 Vol.
Non
88-89 °F
$8,523 Vol.
Non
90°F ou plus
$6,188 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$136,179Date de fin
10 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136,179Date de fin
10 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from New York City weather stations on June 10, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 82–83 °F, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service data confirmed this value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited afternoon mixing and allowed efficient surface heating without exceeding seasonal norms for early June. Model guidance issued the prior evening aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision once verified reports were released. Only an unexpected station calibration error or post-hoc quality-control adjustment could reopen other temperature ranges, an outcome that remains statistically remote given multiple independent sensors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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