**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 14 juin ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 14 juin ?
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F ou moins <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-30,5°C <1%
$85,507 Vol.
$85,507 Vol.
14 juin 2026
83°F ou moins
Non
84-85°F
Non
30-30,5°C
Non
88-89°F
Non
90-91°F
Oui
92-93°F
Non
94-95°F
Non
96-97°F
Non
98-99 °F
Non
100-101°F
Non
102°F ou plus
Non
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F ou moins <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-30,5°C <1%
$85,507 Vol.
$85,507 Vol.
14 juin 2026
83°F ou moins
$3,925 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$6,244 Vol.
Non
30-30,5°C
$17,856 Vol.
Non
88-89°F
$15,691 Vol.
Non
90-91°F
$19,158 Vol.
Oui
92-93°F
$8,782 Vol.
Non
94-95°F
$8,714 Vol.
Non
96-97°F
$2,565 Vol.
Non
98-99 °F
$1,458 Vol.
Non
100-101°F
$572 Vol.
Non
102°F ou plus
$541 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$85,507Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,507Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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