Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 31–33°C at the resolving station, Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG). This aligns with the city's equatorial climate, where April averages exceed 32°C amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by morning METAR observations already in the upper 20s°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge of Pacific maritime air or heavy afternoon convection suppressing daytime heating—scenarios model ensembles deem improbable (<1% likelihood)—with final resolution based on official hourly reports through midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on April 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 30?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$26,083 Vol.
$26,083 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$26,083 Vol.
$26,083 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
19°C or below
$3,860 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,940 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,114 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,898 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,532 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,356 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,208 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,040 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,565 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,928 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$4,641 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 31–33°C at the resolving station, Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG). This aligns with the city's equatorial climate, where April averages exceed 32°C amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by morning METAR observations already in the upper 20s°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge of Pacific maritime air or heavy afternoon convection suppressing daytime heating—scenarios model ensembles deem improbable (<1% likelihood)—with final resolution based on official hourly reports through midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$26,083Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 31–33°C at the resolving station, Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG). This aligns with the city's equatorial climate, where April averages exceed 32°C amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by morning METAR observations already in the upper 20s°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge of Pacific maritime air or heavy afternoon convection suppressing daytime heating—scenarios model ensembles deem improbable (<1% likelihood)—with final resolution based on official hourly reports through midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,083Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 2:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 29°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting peaks of 31–33°C at the resolving station, Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG). This aligns with the city's equatorial climate, where April averages exceed 32°C amid persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by morning METAR observations already in the upper 20s°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen surge of Pacific maritime air or heavy afternoon convection suppressing daytime heating—scenarios model ensembles deem improbable (<1% likelihood)—with final resolution based on official hourly reports through midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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